Bills vs. Ravens SNF longshot picks, predictions, player props,: Model backing +550 anytime touchdown scorer


                        Bills vs. Ravens SNF longshot picks, predictions, player props,: Model backing +550 anytime touchdown scorer
By: CBS Sports Posted On: September 07, 2025 View: 0

Any time Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson go head-to-head, it's appointment viewing. Put them against one another on Sunday Night Football in Week 1 of an NFL season, and there's the chance of some unexpected things happening. Their playmaking ability also creates opportunities for longshots to supply sports bettors with larger payouts when online sports betting, and the SportsLine model has found some parlays it likes for Bills vs. Ravens on Sunday Night Football, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET from Orchard Park, N.Y. According to the latest Ravens vs. Bills odds, Baltimore is listed as 1.5-point favorites, while the over/under for total points scored is 50.5. 

One of the model's favorite longshots is Ravens wide receiver Rashod Bateman scoring an anytime touchdown at +270 odds (risk $100 to win $270). The fourth-year receiver had nine touchdowns last season, 11 including the playoffs. Bateman scored a postseason touchdown against Buffalo, leading the model to project longshot value with +270 odds for Bateman to score on Sunday night. SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value to add to your Week 1 NFL picks at various sportsbooks, They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest bet365 bonus code, where you can get $300 in bonus bets instantly with a $5 bet:

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model went 31-15 on top-rated picks in 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns. 

Now, the model has revealed its top Week 1 NFL longshot picks for Ravens vs. Bills in Week 1 Sunday Night Football: 

Best Week 1 Bills vs. Ravens longshot picks on SNF:

  • Ray Davis anytime touchdown (+550)
  • Rashod Bateman anytime touchdown (+270)
  • Bills money line + Over 50.5 points parlay (+300)

You could play these picks at +5000 odds with the latest DraftKings promo code, where you can get $300 in bonus bets, as well as Over $200 off Sunday NFL Ticket on a $5 bet: (odds subject to change)

Ray Davis anytime touchdown (+550) 

The Buffalo backup running back had a 1-yard touchdown run against the Ravens in the playoffs last year, and if he was given the confidence to punch in a touchdown at the goal line in the postseason, there should be no concerns about trusting the young running back in Week 1. Davis, a fourth-round pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, had three touchdowns last year, but at 5-8, 220 pounds, he could be useful near the goal line. This matchup has the highest over/under at 50.5 points of any game in the Week 1 NFL schedule, and after five different players scored in their postseason matchup last year, there could be plenty of scoring opportunities. 

The model projects 8.8 carries for Davis and with FanDuel offering Davis to score a TD at +550 odds, compared to +500 odds or lower on all other betting apps, there's value in this longshot play. New users can utilize the latest FanDuel promo code for $300 in free bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins.  

Rashod Bateman anytime touchdown (+270)

The Ravens receiver had more than double as many touchdowns last season (nine) as he did in his first three years combined (four) as he became a trusted pass-catcher for Jackson. Bateman had two more scores during the postseason, including a 16-yard touchdown for the game's first touchdown in the Divisional Round against the Bills. Baltimore didn't make many significant upgrades or changes to its playmaking group this offseason, signaling Bateman could be in line for another significant usage, starting on Sunday Night Football.

FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Bateman's anytime TD odds at +270, compared to other sportsbooks' pricing him in the +240 range or lower. The model expects the 25-year-old receiver to be heavily involved again on Sunday Night Football, viewing his anytime touchdown odds as a strong longshot play. You can use the latest FanDuel promo code on this play as well. Click here to claim the current promo

Bills money line + Over 50.5 points parlay (+300)

The Bills are 2-1 at home in Allen vs. Jackson matchups as starting quarterbacks, including last year's postseason victory. Buffalo has won each of their last two meetings at Orchard Park as well. The two teams combined for 52 points in Buffalo's playoff win last year, and after ranking as top-three offenses in the NFL last season, the model expects more offensive firepower to be displayed on Sunday Night Football. The Bills were second in the NFL in points per game (30.6), with the Ravens third in scoring at 30.1 ppg.

The model projects the Bills to win in 54% of simulations, despite being slight underdogs on the money line. It also projects Over 50.5 points to hit in 51% of simulations. Parlaying the Bills' money line + Over on total points gives a +300 payout at DraftKings as a solid longshot option, and with the latest DraftKings promo code, new users can get $300 in bonus bets, as well as Over $200 off Sunday NFL Ticket on a $5 bet.

Want more Week 1 NFL picks?

You've seen the model's NFL longshot picks for Bills vs. Ravens for Week 1 Sunday Night Football. Now, get NFL Week 1 projections for every NFL spread, total and player prop at SportsLine.

Also at SportsLine:

You can also see the model's best bets for every Week 1 NFL game, including Lions vs. Packers, Bills vs. Ravens and Vikings vs. Bears. Finally, SportsLine expert Matt Severance, who is 5-0 (+250) over his last five NFL picks, has locked in his top Week 1 NFL picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best bets.

Want more huge paydays? The model has also built a five-leg Week 1 NFL parlay that would pay 25-1. Check out the model's Week 1 NFL parlay only at SportsLine. Visit SportsLine to see the parlay.

Read this on CBS Sports
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